arBtrage CAPITALIZING MARKETS — checking… Sign in Sign up

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

ARCO Consumer Discretionary Restaurants
$8.02
▼ -1.5% Today
as of Oct 22, 16:46 ET
Last 30 days +1.01% Sep 14 → Oct 22
$6.81 $7.17 $7.53 $7.88 $8.24 Sep 14 Sep 22 Sep 29 Oct 07 Oct 14 Oct 22
Open
$8.00
High
$8.08
Low
$7.88
Volume
$1M
Avg Vol
$1M
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E (TTM)
—
Beta
—
52w High
$9.75
52w Low
$6.67
Div Yield
—
Shares Out
—

Recent Press Releases & News last 60 days · 9 items

▸ Show all 9 press releases & news Free account →

ARCO earnings at a glance

The options market is pricing a move of about ±17.9% after the report, a range of roughly $6.59 to $9.45 from today's $8.02. Over its last 2 reports the stock rose the next day 1 time and fell 1, moving ±9.1% on average; after the most recent report on May 20, 2026 it moved +12.5%. That means options currently expect more movement than ARCO has typically delivered. ARCO beat the consensus EPS estimate in 3 of its last 4 reported quarters. Implied volatility is currently 151%. The share price of $8.02 sits in the middle of its 52-week range.

More Consumer Discretionary stocks · All stocks · Earnings calendar

Overview

52-week range
$6.67
$9.75
44% of range
Avg surprise (last 4)
+37.1%
Avg reaction (last 2)
+3.4%
50% positive
Latest IV / EM
151%
EM ±17.9% · $8 · Oct 16

Earnings trends

EPS — actual vs estimate Actual Estimate
$0.05$0.08$0.11$0.14$0.17 Actual $0.07Est $0.13Actual $0.11Est $0.05Actual $0.12Est $0.10Actual $0.17Est $0.11 Mar/2025Jun/2025Sep/2025Mar/2026

Earnings history

DatePeriodActual EPSEstSurpriseYoY %ΔDay reactSource
Wed May 20, 2026Mar/2026 $0.17 $0.11 +54.5% +142.9% +12.5% earnings
Wed Nov 12, 2025Sep/2025 $0.12 $0.10 +20.0% — — earnings
Wed Aug 13, 2025Jun/2025 $0.11 $0.05 +120.0% — — earnings
Wed May 14, 2025Mar/2025 $0.07 $0.13 -46.1% — -5.6% earnings

Implied volatility — last 90 days

20%156%293%430%566% Jun 07 — IV 198% · EM ±27.4%Jun 08 — IV 148% · EM ±19.5%Jun 09 — IV 164% · EM ±20.5%Jun 10 — IV 187% · EM ±22.1%Jun 11 — IV 300% · EM ±33.1%Jun 12 — IV 266% · EM ±27.2%Jun 15 — IV 567% · EM ±41.0%Jun 16 — IV 458% · EM ±27.0%Jun 17 — IV 545% · EM ±22.8%Jun 19 — IV 71% · EM ±15.8%Jun 22 — IV 92% · EM ±19.3%Jun 23 — IV 60% · EM ±12.3%Jun 24 — IV 59% · EM ±11.9%Jun 25 — IV 97% · EM ±19.1%Jun 26 — IV 110% · EM ±21.0%Jun 29 — IV 111% · EM ±19.7%Jun 30 — IV 119% · EM ±20.5%Jul 02 — IV 113% · EM ±18.2%Jul 03 — IV 117% · EM ±18.2%Jul 06 — IV 153% · EM ±21.1%Jul 07 — IV 161% · EM ±21.2%Jul 08 — IV 151% · EM ±18.9%Jul 09 — IV 179% · EM ±21.1%Jul 10 — IV 209% · EM ±23.1%Jul 13 — IV 325% · EM ±27.1%Jul 14 — IV 261% · EM ±18.9%Jul 15 — IV 300% · EM ±17.7%Jul 16 — IV 389% · EM ±16.3%Jul 20 — IV 57% · EM ±13.5%Jul 21 — IV 52% · EM ±12.1%Jul 22 — IV 52% · EM ±11.8%Jul 23 — IV 60% · EM ±13.6%Jul 24 — IV 61% · EM ±13.4%Jul 27 — IV 61% · EM ±12.7%Jul 28 — IV 58% · EM ±11.9%Jul 29 — IV 45% · EM ±9.1%Jul 30 — IV 56% · EM ±11.0%Jul 31 — IV 64% · EM ±12.2%Aug 03 — IV 63% · EM ±11.2%Aug 04 — IV 64% · EM ±11.1%Aug 05 — IV 92% · EM ±15.3%Aug 06 — IV 65% · EM ±10.5%Aug 07 — IV 70% · EM ±10.9%Aug 10 — IV 85% · EM ±11.8%Aug 11 — IV 62% · EM ±8.2%Aug 12 — IV 20% · EM ±2.5%Aug 13 — IV 143% · EM ±16.9%Aug 14 — IV 149% · EM ±16.4%Aug 17 — IV 206% · EM ±17.2%Aug 18 — IV 117% · EM ±8.4%Aug 20 — IV 200% · EM ±8.3%Aug 24 — IV 83% · EM ±17.3%Aug 25 — IV 75% · EM ±15.4%Aug 26 — IV 81% · EM ±16.2%Aug 27 — IV 64% · EM ±12.6%Aug 28 — IV 65% · EM ±12.5%Aug 31 — IV 61% · EM ±10.7%Sep 01 — IV 68% · EM ±11.8%Sep 02 — IV 113% · EM ±18.9%Sep 03 — IV 120% · EM ±19.4%Sep 04 — IV 121% · EM ±19.0%Sep 07 — IV 137% · EM ±19.0%Sep 08 — IV 139% · EM ±18.3%Sep 09 — IV 143% · EM ±17.9%Sep 10 — IV 131% · EM ±15.5%Sep 11 — IV 147% · EM ±16.2%Sep 14 — IV 158% · EM ±13.2%Sep 15 — IV 204% · EM ±14.8%Sep 21 — IV 25% · EM ±5.3%Sep 22 — IV 26% · EM ±5.2%Sep 23 — IV 54% · EM ±10.8%Sep 24 — IV 56% · EM ±11.1%Sep 25 — IV 58% · EM ±11.1%Sep 28 — IV 43% · EM ±7.7%Sep 29 — IV 69% · EM ±11.9%Sep 30 — IV 42% · EM ±7.0%Oct 01 — IV 107% · EM ±17.4%Oct 02 — IV 99% · EM ±15.5%Oct 06 — IV 112% · EM ±14.8%Oct 07 — IV 126% · EM ±15.8%Oct 08 — IV 151% · EM ±17.9%

Sector peers

ARCO earnings FAQ

What is ARCO's expected move for earnings?

Options currently price a move of about ±17.9%, or $1.43 per share either way from $8.02.

How does ARCO stock usually react to earnings?

Across the last 2 reports the average next-day move was ±9.1%, up 1 times and down 1 times.

What is ARCO's implied volatility?

ARCO's at-the-money implied volatility is about 151% based on the latest options snapshot.

🔒 Preview mode. Create a free account to unlock the full earnings calendar, all panels, heatmaps, options flow, and screener.