arBtrage CAPITALIZING MARKETS — checking… Sign in Sign up

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance

ARI Real Estate Real Estate Investment Trusts
$6.42
▲ +1.3% Today
as of Oct 23, 16:45 ET
Last 30 days -2.28% Sep 14 → Oct 23
$6.17 $6.28 $6.38 $6.49 $6.60 Sep 14 Sep 22 Sep 30 Oct 07 Oct 15 Oct 23
Open
$6.30
High
$6.43
Low
$6.29
Volume
$7M
Avg Vol
$2M
Mkt Cap
$799M
P/E (TTM)
10.46
Beta
—
52w High
$11.24
52w Low
$6.11
Div Yield
—
Shares Out
$128M

Recent Press Releases & News last 60 days · 2 items

ARI earnings at a glance

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) is scheduled to report earnings on Thursday, October 29, 2026 — in 5 days. Analysts expect earnings per share of -$0.21, compared with $0.27 in the same quarter last year (-178%). The options market is pricing a move of about ±37.7% after the report, a range of roughly $4.00 to $8.84 from today's $6.42. Over its last 6 reports the stock rose the next day 2 times and fell 4, moving ±1.5% on average; after the most recent report on Aug 11, 2026 it moved +1.1%. That means options currently expect more movement than ARI has typically delivered. ARI beat the consensus EPS estimate in 3 of its last 6 reported quarters. Implied volatility is currently 319%. The share price of $6.42 sits near its 52-week low.

More Real Estate stocks · All stocks · Earnings calendar

Overview

52-week range
$6.11
$11
6% of range
Avg surprise (last 6)
+229.3%
Avg reaction (last 6)
-0.7%
33% positive
Latest IV / EM
319%
EM ±37.7% · $5 · Oct 16

Earnings trends

EPS — actual vs estimate Actual Estimate
$-0.76$-0.49$-0.22$0.05$0.32 Actual $0.32Actual $-0.62Actual $0.30Actual $-0.76Actual $0.23Actual $-0.69Actual $0.22Est $0.24Actual $0.24Est $0.23Actual $0.27Est $0.02Actual $0.24Est $0.25Actual $0.20Est $0.27Actual $0.13Est $0.05 MarJunSepMarJunSepMar/2025Jun/2025Sep/20258K8KJun/2026
Revenue vs Net Income Revenue Net income
$-92M$-50M$-8M$33M$75M Sep 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Mar 26Jun 26

Earnings history

DatePeriodActual EPSEstSurpriseYoY %ΔDay reactSource
Tue Aug 11, 2026Jun/2026 $0.13 $0.05 +160.0% -79.2% +1.1% earnings
Tue Apr 28, 20268K 2026-04-28 $0.20 $0.27 -25.9% — -2.9% earnings
Tue Feb 10, 20268K 2026-02-10 $0.24 $0.25 -4.0% — -0.3% earnings
Thu Oct 30, 2025Sep/2025 $0.27 $0.02 +1,250% — -2.0% earnings
Tue Jul 29, 2025Jun/2025 $0.24 $0.23 +4.3% — -1.3% earnings
Thu Apr 24, 2025Mar/2025 $0.22 $0.24 -8.3% — +1.3% earnings
Mon Sep 30, 2024Sep 2024 $-0.69 — — — — financials
Sun Jun 30, 2024Jun 2024 $0.23 — — — — financials
Sun Mar 31, 2024Mar 2024 $-0.76 — — — — financials
Sat Sep 30, 2023Sep 2023 $0.30 — — — — financials
Fri Jun 30, 2023Jun 2023 $-0.62 — — — — financials
Fri Mar 31, 2023Mar 2023 $0.32 — — — — financials

Upcoming

DateFiscalTimeEPS EstLY EPSYoY %Δ
Thu Oct 29, 2026Sep/2026OTHER -$0.21$0.27 -177.8%

Financials

Income statement (quarterly)

MetricJun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Revenue$44M$59M—$62M$71M$66M—$72M
Cost of revenue————————
Gross profit————————
Operating income————————
Net income$26M$26M—$51M$21M$26M—$-92M
EPS (diluted)$0.11$0.16—$0.34$0.12$0.16—$-0.69

Balance sheet (quarterly)

MetricJun 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Sep 2025Jun 2025Mar 2025Dec 2024Sep 2024
Cash & equivalents$1.24B$127M$140M$246M$178M$166M$317M$194M
Inventory————————
Total current assets————————
Total assets$2.14B$10.09B$9.90B$9.52B$9.82B$8.78B$8.41B$9.10B
Long-term debt————————
Total liabilities$881M$8.28B$8.04B$7.66B$7.97B$6.92B$6.54B$7.23B
Total equity$1.25B$1.81B$1.86B$1.86B$1.85B$1.86B$1.87B$1.87B

Implied volatility — last 90 days

7%531%1055%1579%2103% Jun 07 — IV 138% · EM ±19.1%Jun 08 — IV 164% · EM ±21.7%Jun 09 — IV 160% · EM ±20.0%Jun 10 — IV 155% · EM ±18.4%Jun 11 — IV 168% · EM ±18.6%Jun 12 — IV 164% · EM ±16.8%Jun 15 — IV 454% · EM ±32.8%Jun 23 — IV 40% · EM ±8.2%Jun 24 — IV 65% · EM ±13.0%Jun 25 — IV 9% · EM ±1.9%Jun 26 — IV 7% · EM ±1.4%Jun 29 — IV 36% · EM ±6.4%Jul 01 — IV 132% · EM ±22.0%Jul 02 — IV 15% · EM ±2.4%Jul 03 — IV 15% · EM ±2.4%Jul 06 — IV 14% · EM ±1.9%Jul 07 — IV 80% · EM ±10.5%Jul 09 — IV 91% · EM ±10.8%Jul 10 — IV 97% · EM ±10.7%Jul 15 — IV 335% · EM ±19.8%Jul 16 — IV 2104% · EM ±87.9%Sep 14 — IV 383% · EM ±32.0%Sep 15 — IV 319% · EM ±23.0%Sep 16 — IV 573% · EM ±33.8%Sep 17 — IV 817% · EM ±34.1%Sep 21 — IV 261% · EM ±54.4%Sep 22 — IV 255% · EM ±52.3%Sep 23 — IV 279% · EM ±55.9%Sep 24 — IV 298% · EM ±58.3%Oct 01 — IV 389% · EM ±62.9%Oct 02 — IV 258% · EM ±40.3%Oct 06 — IV 297% · EM ±39.2%Oct 07 — IV 384% · EM ±48.2%Oct 08 — IV 319% · EM ±37.7%

Sector peers

ARI earnings FAQ

When is ARI's next earnings date?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is expected to report on October 29, 2026.

What is ARI's expected move for earnings?

Options currently price a move of about ±37.7%, or $2.42 per share either way from $6.42.

How does ARI stock usually react to earnings?

Across the last 6 reports the average next-day move was ±1.5%, up 2 times and down 4 times.

What EPS are analysts expecting from Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance?

The consensus estimate is -$0.21 per share, versus $0.27 a year ago.

What is ARI's implied volatility?

ARI's at-the-money implied volatility is about 319% based on the latest options snapshot.

🔒 Preview mode. Create a free account to unlock the full earnings calendar, all panels, heatmaps, options flow, and screener.