Last 30 days
-16.50%
Sep 14 → Oct 22
$12.01
$12.71
$13.40
$14.10
$14.80
Sep 14
Sep 22
Sep 29
Oct 07
Oct 14
Oct 22
VALE earnings at a glance
VALE S.A. (VALE) is scheduled to report earnings on Thursday, October 29, 2026 — in 6 days. Analysts expect earnings per share of $0.49, compared with $0.63 in the same quarter last year (-22%). The options market is pricing a move of about ±7.6% after the report, a range of roughly $11.27 to $13.13 from today's $12.20. Over its last 1 reports the stock rose the next day 1 time and fell 0, moving ±2.1% on average; after the most recent report on Apr 24, 2025 it moved +2.1%. That means options currently expect more movement than VALE has typically delivered. VALE beat the consensus EPS estimate in 2 of its last 3 reported quarters. Implied volatility is currently 39%. The share price of $12.20 sits near its 52-week low.
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Overview
Earnings
Financials
Implied Vol
Peers
Overview
52-week range
12% of range
Avg surprise (last 3)
+23.4%
Avg reaction (last 1)
+2.1%
100% positive
Latest IV / EM
39%
EM ±7.6% · $14 · Oct 30
Earnings trends
EPS — actual vs estimate
$0.34 $0.41 $0.48 $0.56 $0.63
Actual $0.35 Est $0.37 Actual $0.50 Est $0.34 Actual $0.63 Est $0.49 Mar/2025 Jun/2025 Sep/2025
Earnings history
Upcoming
Implied volatility — last 90 days
8% 49% 90% 132% 173%
Jun 07 — IV 46% · EM ±4.3% Jun 08 — IV 40% · EM ±3.4% Jun 09 — IV 44% · EM ±3.2% Jun 10 — IV 40% · EM ±2.3% Jun 11 — IV 42% · EM ±1.8% Jun 15 — IV 35% · EM ±2.5% Jun 16 — IV 34% · EM ±2.0% Jun 17 — IV 41% · EM ±1.7% Jun 19 — IV 31% · EM ±3.5% Jun 22 — IV 37% · EM ±3.1% Jun 23 — IV 37% · EM ±2.6% Jun 24 — IV 44% · EM ±2.6% Jun 25 — IV 42% · EM ±1.8% Jun 29 — IV 30% · EM ±7.1% Jun 30 — IV 32% · EM ±7.4% Jul 01 — IV 29% · EM ±6.7% Jul 02 — IV 33% · EM ±7.3% Jul 03 — IV 33% · EM ±7.3% Jul 06 — IV 27% · EM ±5.6% Jul 07 — IV 32% · EM ±6.5% Jul 08 — IV 50% · EM ±10.0% Jul 09 — IV 27% · EM ±5.3% Jul 10 — IV 30% · EM ±5.8% Jul 13 — IV 29% · EM ±5.2% Jul 14 — IV 22% · EM ±3.9% Jul 15 — IV 30% · EM ±5.1% Jul 16 — IV 25% · EM ±4.1% Jul 17 — IV 36% · EM ±5.7% Jul 20 — IV 31% · EM ±4.3% Jul 21 — IV 39% · EM ±5.2% Jul 22 — IV 37% · EM ±4.7% Jul 23 — IV 37% · EM ±4.4% Jul 24 — IV 36% · EM ±4.0% Jul 27 — IV 45% · EM ±3.8% Jul 28 — IV 48% · EM ±3.5% Jul 29 — IV 53% · EM ±3.1% Jul 30 — IV 51% · EM ±2.1% Aug 03 — IV 34% · EM ±2.9% Aug 04 — IV 23% · EM ±1.7% Aug 05 — IV 35% · EM ±2.0% Aug 06 — IV 8% · EM ±0.3% Aug 10 — IV 58% · EM ±4.8% Aug 11 — IV 59% · EM ±4.3% Aug 12 — IV 51% · EM ±3.0% Aug 13 — IV 46% · EM ±1.9% Aug 17 — IV 36% · EM ±3.0% Aug 18 — IV 36% · EM ±2.6% Aug 19 — IV 37% · EM ±2.2% Aug 20 — IV 55% · EM ±2.3% Aug 24 — IV 36% · EM ±3.0% Aug 25 — IV 24% · EM ±1.7% Aug 26 — IV 41% · EM ±2.4% Aug 27 — IV 13% · EM ±0.5% Aug 31 — IV 34% · EM ±2.8% Sep 01 — IV 36% · EM ±2.6% Sep 02 — IV 47% · EM ±2.8% Sep 03 — IV 66% · EM ±2.8% Sep 07 — IV 44% · EM ±3.7% Sep 08 — IV 40% · EM ±2.9% Sep 09 — IV 40% · EM ±2.3% Sep 10 — IV 17% · EM ±0.7% Sep 14 — IV 38% · EM ±3.2% Sep 15 — IV 39% · EM ±2.8% Sep 16 — IV 49% · EM ±2.9% Sep 17 — IV 38% · EM ±1.6% Sep 21 — IV 37% · EM ±3.1% Sep 22 — IV 39% · EM ±2.8% Sep 23 — IV 33% · EM ±1.9% Sep 24 — IV 174% · EM ±7.2% Sep 28 — IV 41% · EM ±9.6% Sep 29 — IV 39% · EM ±9.2% Sep 30 — IV 44% · EM ±10.0% Oct 01 — IV 46% · EM ±10.2% Oct 02 — IV 45% · EM ±10.0% Oct 06 — IV 38% · EM ±7.8% Oct 07 — IV 38% · EM ±7.7% Oct 08 — IV 39% · EM ±7.6%
VALE earnings FAQ
When is VALE's next earnings date? VALE S.A. is expected to report on October 29, 2026.
What is VALE's expected move for earnings? Options currently price a move of about ±7.6%, or $0.93 per share either way from $12.20.
How does VALE stock usually react to earnings? Across the last 1 reports the average next-day move was ±2.1%, up 1 times and down 0 times.
What EPS are analysts expecting from VALE S.A.? The consensus estimate is $0.49 per share, versus $0.63 a year ago.
What is VALE's implied volatility? VALE's at-the-money implied volatility is about 39% based on the latest options snapshot.