Last 30 days
-1.35%
Sep 14 → Oct 22
$406.47
$427.77
$449.07
$470.38
$491.68
Sep 14
Sep 22
Sep 29
Oct 07
Oct 14
Oct 22
TSM earnings at a glance
The options market is pricing a move of about ±4.6% after the report, a range of roughly $393.52 to $431.18 from today's $412.35. Over its last 1 reports the stock rose the next day 1 time and fell 0, moving ±3.4% on average; after the most recent report on Jul 17, 2025 it moved +3.4%. That means options currently expect more movement than TSM has typically delivered. TSM beat the consensus EPS estimate in 2 of its last 2 reported quarters. Implied volatility is currently 39%. The share price of $412.35 sits in the middle of its 52-week range.
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Overview
Earnings
Financials
Implied Vol
Peers
Overview
52-week range
66% of range
Avg surprise (last 2)
+8.5%
Avg reaction (last 1)
+3.4%
100% positive
Latest IV / EM
39%
EM ±4.6% · $460 · Oct 16
Earnings trends
EPS — actual vs estimate
$2.37 $2.51 $2.65 $2.78 $2.92
Actual $2.47 Est $2.37 Actual $2.92 Est $2.59 Jun/2025 Sep/2025
Earnings history
Implied volatility — last 90 days
29% 40% 52% 63% 74%
Jun 08 — IV 55% · EM ±4.6% Jun 09 — IV 62% · EM ±4.5% Jun 10 — IV 65% · EM ±3.8% Jun 11 — IV 57% · EM ±2.4% Jun 15 — IV 51% · EM ±3.7% Jun 16 — IV 54% · EM ±3.2% Jun 17 — IV 55% · EM ±2.3% Jun 19 — IV 51% · EM ±5.7% Jun 22 — IV 55% · EM ±4.6% Jun 23 — IV 60% · EM ±4.3% Jun 24 — IV 70% · EM ±4.1% Jun 25 — IV 54% · EM ±2.2% Jun 29 — IV 54% · EM ±9.6% Jun 30 — IV 55% · EM ±9.5% Jul 01 — IV 56% · EM ±9.4% Jul 02 — IV 60% · EM ±9.7% Jul 03 — IV 61% · EM ±9.6% Jul 06 — IV 63% · EM ±8.7% Jul 07 — IV 63% · EM ±8.4% Jul 08 — IV 63% · EM ±7.9% Jul 09 — IV 64% · EM ±7.5% Jul 10 — IV 58% · EM ±6.4% Jul 13 — IV 71% · EM ±5.9% Jul 14 — IV 72% · EM ±5.2% Jul 15 — IV 71% · EM ±4.2% Jul 16 — IV 56% · EM ±2.3% Jul 20 — IV 62% · EM ±5.2% Jul 21 — IV 60% · EM ±4.3% Jul 22 — IV 64% · EM ±3.8% Jul 23 — IV 57% · EM ±2.4% Jul 27 — IV 62% · EM ±5.2% Jul 28 — IV 65% · EM ±4.7% Jul 29 — IV 75% · EM ±4.4% Jul 30 — IV 60% · EM ±2.5% Aug 03 — IV 56% · EM ±4.7% Aug 04 — IV 58% · EM ±4.2% Aug 05 — IV 51% · EM ±3.0% Aug 06 — IV 45% · EM ±1.9% Aug 10 — IV 42% · EM ±3.5% Aug 11 — IV 40% · EM ±2.9% Aug 12 — IV 38% · EM ±2.2% Aug 13 — IV 35% · EM ±1.5% Aug 17 — IV 37% · EM ±3.1% Aug 18 — IV 37% · EM ±2.7% Aug 19 — IV 36% · EM ±2.1% Aug 20 — IV 38% · EM ±1.6% Aug 24 — IV 38% · EM ±3.2% Aug 25 — IV 41% · EM ±3.0% Aug 26 — IV 44% · EM ±2.6% Aug 27 — IV 39% · EM ±1.6% Aug 31 — IV 34% · EM ±2.8% Sep 01 — IV 36% · EM ±2.6% Sep 02 — IV 35% · EM ±2.1% Sep 03 — IV 33% · EM ±1.4% Sep 07 — IV 39% · EM ±3.3% Sep 08 — IV 39% · EM ±2.8% Sep 09 — IV 39% · EM ±2.3% Sep 10 — IV 42% · EM ±1.7% Sep 14 — IV 36% · EM ±3.0% Sep 15 — IV 34% · EM ±2.5% Sep 16 — IV 37% · EM ±2.2% Sep 17 — IV 33% · EM ±1.4% Sep 21 — IV 32% · EM ±2.7% Sep 22 — IV 34% · EM ±2.5% Sep 23 — IV 32% · EM ±1.9% Sep 24 — IV 29% · EM ±1.2% Sep 28 — IV 36% · EM ±6.4% Sep 29 — IV 35% · EM ±6.1% Sep 30 — IV 36% · EM ±6.0% Oct 01 — IV 35% · EM ±5.6% Oct 02 — IV 35% · EM ±5.4% Oct 06 — IV 36% · EM ±4.8% Oct 07 — IV 38% · EM ±4.7% Oct 08 — IV 39% · EM ±4.6%
TSM earnings FAQ
What is TSM's expected move for earnings? Options currently price a move of about ±4.6%, or $18.83 per share either way from $412.35.
How does TSM stock usually react to earnings? Across the last 1 reports the average next-day move was ±3.4%, up 1 times and down 0 times.
What is TSM's implied volatility? TSM's at-the-money implied volatility is about 39% based on the latest options snapshot.