Congressional Coattail
Members of Congress disclose their stock trades within 30 days under the STOCK Act. Some consistently outperform — likely from access to information not yet public. This page simulates a buy-and-hold portfolio for each politician's disclosed buys over the last 365 days and ranks them by hypothetical return, then surfaces what the top performers are buying now.
Ideas tracked (50d)
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🎯 Top 3 Trade Ideas
Educational only — not investment advice · for analysis purposes only
MSFT
Long Shares (or 90-DTE Call)
Microsoft Corporation
Spot price: $493.74
Strike$495
ExpirationDec 18, 2026 (101d)
3 of top-10 politicians bought in last 180d (7 total trades). Politicians hold for months — shares for safety, ATM calls for leverage.
PANW
Long Shares (or 90-DTE Call)
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
Spot price: $336.58
Strike$335
ExpirationDec 18, 2026 (101d)
2 of top-10 politicians bought in last 180d (5 total trades). Politicians hold for months — shares for safety, ATM calls for leverage.
MNST
Long Shares (or 90-DTE Call)
Monster Beverage Corporation
Spot price: $43.15
Strike$42.5
ExpirationDec 18, 2026 (101d)
2 of top-10 politicians bought in last 180d (5 total trades). Politicians hold for months — shares for safety, ATM calls for leverage.
Top 15 Politicians by Return (365d)
Hypothetical buy-and-hold at transaction-date close · min 3 buys · min $10k disclosed value| # | Politician | Chamber | Buys | Tickers | Sim. Invested | Current Value | P&L | Return % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Scott Franklin | House | 3 | 1 | $66,002 | $85,718 | +$19,716 | +29.87% |
| 2 | Robert E. Latta | House | 5 | 1 | $47,003 | $59,771 | +$12,768 | +27.16% |
| 3 | Jared Moskowitz | House | 69 | 27 | $587,037 | $744,805 | +$157,768 | +26.88% |
| 4 | Tim Moore | House | 44 | 10 | $898,041 | $1,111,251 | +$213,210 | +23.74% |
| 5 | Josh Gottheimer | House | 45 | 34 | $1,628,025 | $1,991,681 | +$363,657 | +22.34% |
| 6 | Lisa McClain | House | 185 | 158 | $1,515,095 | $1,804,257 | +$289,162 | +19.09% |
| 7 | Nancy Pelosi | House | 18 | 10 | $8,350,018 | $9,561,704 | +$1,211,686 | +14.51% |
| 8 | John McGuire | House | 6 | 4 | $48,003 | $53,855 | +$5,852 | +12.19% |
| 9 | Jonathan Jackson | House | 23 | 16 | $415,018 | $462,750 | +$47,732 | +11.50% |
| 10 | Ed Case | House | 4 | 1 | $32,002 | $35,627 | +$3,625 | +11.33% |
| 11 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | House | 31 | 27 | $269,017 | $294,514 | +$25,497 | +9.48% |
| 12 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | 650 | 298 | $5,961,845 | $6,517,934 | +$556,090 | +9.33% |
| 13 | Cleo Fields | House | 76 | 23 | $2,761,060 | $3,008,555 | +$247,495 | +8.96% |
| 14 | Maria Elvira Salazar | House | 56 | 29 | $693,043 | $744,148 | +$51,105 | +7.37% |
| 15 | Richard Dean Dr McCormick | House | 38 | 25 | $304,019 | $325,673 | +$21,654 | +7.12% |
Smart Money Picks
Tickers most-bought by the top 10 performers (last 180 days)Recent Smart-Money Trades
Latest disclosures from top-10 performers (last 120 days)| Filer | Side | Ticker | Amount | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Jackson | SELL | VSAT | $1,001 - $15,000 | Aug 28, 2026 |
| Ed Case | BUY | AAPL | $1,001 - $15,000 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Tim Moore | SELL | T | $50,001 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | BUY | GOOGM | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | BUY | GOOGN | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | CCI | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | BUY | GOOGN | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | BUY | NICE | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | BUY | SAIL | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | GTLS | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | BUY | MNST | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | IBM | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | BUY | PANW | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | BUY | CRWD | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | IBM | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | FN | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Jared Moskowitz | BUY | AMAT | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Jared Moskowitz | SELL | STE | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Jared Moskowitz | SELL | GWW | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Nancy Pelosi | BUY | BE | $500,001 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Nancy Pelosi | BUY | BE | $500,001 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Nancy Pelosi | BUY | BE | $1,000,001 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Nancy Pelosi | BUY | INTC | $250,001 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Nancy Pelosi | BUY | INTC | $500,001 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Nancy Pelosi | BUY | BE | $1,000,001 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Robert E. Latta | BUY | FMAO | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Tim Moore | SELL | DASH | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| John McGuire | SELL | BLK | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | NTDOY | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | INSM | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | NVZMY | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | NSRGY | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | ADC | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | BABA | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Josh Gottheimer | SELL | BKNG | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Jonathan Jackson | BUY | HLT | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jonathan Jackson | SELL | MCK | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jonathan Jackson | BUY | SPHR | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Jared Moskowitz | BUY | AMAT | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Jared Moskowitz | BUY | AMAT | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Bottom Performers
For reference only — these politicians' buys have underperformed| # | Politician | Chamber | Buys | Return % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rick Larsen | House | 12 | -5.89% |
| 2 | April McClain Delaney | House | 141 | -3.96% |
| 3 | Richard W. Allen | House | 8 | -2.37% |
| 4 | Dan Newhouse | House | 21 | -2.17% |
| 5 | Valerie Hoyle | House | 3 | 1.40% |
| 6 | Julie Johnson | House | 41 | 1.60% |
| 7 | Michael Rulli | House | 12 | 1.77% |
| 8 | Lloyd Doggett | House | 17 | 2.22% |
| 9 | August Lee Pfluger | House | 5 | 2.67% |
| 10 | Thomas H. Kean | House | 19 | 3.57% |
Evidence Behind This Strategy
Train baseline:
+0.0231
vs Test: +0.0069
OOS 5/10 ✓
▸ Show methodology
Train top politicians (sorted by lift vs baseline)
| Politician | n | mean | hit | lift |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Moore | 36 | +0.1283 | 0.86 | +0.1052 |
| Jefferson Shreve | 25 | +0.0850 | 0.84 | +0.0618 |
| Byron Donalds | 12 | +0.0673 | 0.58 | +0.0441 |
| Rob Bresnahan | 40 | +0.0649 | 0.70 | +0.0418 |
| Josh Gottheimer | 27 | +0.0644 | 0.78 | +0.0412 |
| Scott Scott Franklin | 33 | +0.0521 | 0.70 | +0.0289 |
| Cleo Fields | 170 | +0.0508 | 0.75 | +0.0277 |
| Richard Dean Dr McCormick | 23 | +0.0413 | 0.78 | +0.0181 |
| Ritchie John Torres | 60 | +0.0391 | 0.67 | +0.0160 |
| Julia Letlow | 106 | +0.0336 | 0.64 | +0.0104 |
| Julie Johnson | 10 | +0.0289 | 0.70 | +0.0058 |
| David J. Taylor | 23 | +0.0274 | 0.61 | +0.0043 |
| Dan Newhouse | 14 | +0.0273 | 0.36 | +0.0042 |
| Gilbert Cisneros | 73 | +0.0265 | 0.59 | +0.0034 |
| Jonathan Jackson | 32 | +0.0230 | 0.56 | -0.0001 |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 53 | +0.0188 | 0.64 | -0.0044 |
| Thomas H. Kean | 14 | +0.0163 | 0.64 | -0.0068 |
| Valerie Hoyle | 181 | +0.0079 | 0.50 | -0.0153 |
| Lisa McClain | 657 | +0.0046 | 0.50 | -0.0185 |
| April McClain Delaney | 28 | -0.0026 | 0.50 | -0.0257 |
| Jared Moskowitz | 23 | -0.0137 | 0.43 | -0.0368 |
Out-of-sample carryover
6/10 train-top politicians appear in test;
mean test lift +0.0288
Method
For each politician's disclosed BUY: enter at disclosure-date close, hold 30 sessions, measure return. Baseline = all-trades mean. Out-of-sample: train on first 60% of disclosures, test on last 40%. Check whether top-10 train politicians hold their edge in test.